Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 39.4%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 36.63% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.27%) and 0-2 (5.7%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Notts County in this match.
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