Getafe have only won two of their 17 away league matches this season, while Cadiz have suffered just five losses from their 17 La Liga fixtures at home, which is far from a disastrous record. Cadiz have drawn eight times in front of their own fans, meanwhile, which is the joint-most in the division, and we are expecting the points to be shared on Sunday afternoon.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cadiz win with a probability of 39.47%. A win for Getafe had a probability of 31.55% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cadiz win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.88%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Getafe win was 0-1 (11.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cadiz in this match.
-0.08) 
0.11) 
