Real Madrid have won their last three league matches against Cadiz, including a 3-0 success in the reverse match earlier this season, but it was only 2-1 at Bernabeu last term.
The home side will not be at full strength this weekend, but we are still expecting them to secure all three points, which could see them win the La Liga title on Saturday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 76.55%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 8.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.5%) and 1-0 (9.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.12%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (2.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
-0.14) 
0.08) 
