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CL
La Liga | Gameweek 20
Jan 14, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla
VL

Cadiz
1 - 4
Valencia

Alcaraz (21' pen.)
Hernandez (30'), Alejo (57'), Alcaraz (63'), Hernandez (87')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Duro (8'), Lopez (52'), Guerra (90+4'), Vazquez (90+8')
Guillamon (57'), Mamardashvili (90+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Granada 2-0 Cadiz
Wednesday, January 3 at 4pm in La Liga
Last Game: Cartagena 1-2 Valencia
Sunday, January 7 at 6pm in Copa del Rey

We said: Cadiz 1-2 Valencia

Valencia have the winning habit at the moment, and the visitors will fancy their chances of putting another victory on the board this weekend. Cadiz are certainly better than what they have shown this season, but we are finding it difficult to back them to avoid defeat in this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 42.21%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 28.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.52%) and 1-2 (8.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.25%), while for a Cadiz win it was 1-0 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.

Result
CadizDrawValencia
28.61% (-0.212 -0.21) 29.17% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 42.21% (0.231 0.23)
Both teams to score 42.79% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.41% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)63.58% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.11% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)82.89% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Cadiz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.98% (-0.184 -0.18)39.01% (0.183 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.26% (-0.172 -0.17)75.73% (0.169 0.17)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.17% (0.122 0.12)29.83% (-0.124 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.09% (0.149 0.15)65.91% (-0.151 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Cadiz 28.61%
    Valencia 42.21%
    Draw 29.17%
CadizDrawValencia
1-0 @ 10.95% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 6.24% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.16% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-1 @ 1.96% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.62% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.18% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 28.61%
1-1 @ 13.25% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 11.63% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.77% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 29.17%
0-1 @ 14.07% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-2 @ 8.52% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
1-2 @ 8.02% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.43% (0.037 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.23% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.52% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.04% (0.015 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.98% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 42.21%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Granada 2-0 Cadiz
Wednesday, January 3 at 4pm in La Liga
Last Game: Cadiz 0-0 Real Sociedad
Thursday, December 21 at 6pm in La Liga
Last Game: Las Palmas 1-1 Cadiz
Sunday, December 17 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Cadiz 1-1 Osasuna
Sunday, December 10 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Arandina 2-1 Cadiz
Thursday, December 7 at 6pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-1 Cadiz
Monday, December 4 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Cartagena 1-2 Valencia
Sunday, January 7 at 6pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Valencia 3-1 Villarreal
Tuesday, January 2 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 0-1 Valencia
Tuesday, December 19 at 6pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valencia 1-1 Barcelona
Saturday, December 16 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Getafe 1-0 Valencia
Friday, December 8 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Arosa 0-1 Valencia
Tuesday, December 5 at 8pm in Copa del Rey


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