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La Liga | Gameweek 15
Dec 2, 2023 at 1pm UK
Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
VL

Girona
2 - 1
Valencia

Stuani (82', 88')
Blind (36'), Couto (42'), Savio (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Duro (56')
Gasiorowski (61'), Duro (77'), Paulista (90+6')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Valencia 0-0 Celta Vigo
Saturday, November 25 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Girona 1-1 Valencia

This is a testing period for Girona, as their winning momentum was broken last time out, and Valencia are not losing too many matches at the moment. It would not be a surprise to see Girona return to winning ways, but we have a feeling that Valencia will be good enough for a point on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 46.64%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 28.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.

Result
GironaDrawValencia
46.64% (0.035000000000004 0.04) 24.93% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 28.43% (-0.032 -0.03)
Both teams to score 54.93%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.01% (0.012 0.01)47.98% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.84% (0.010999999999999 0.01)70.15% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Girona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.38% (0.018000000000001 0.02)20.62% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.82% (0.030999999999999 0.03)53.17% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.2% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)30.8% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.93% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)67.07% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Girona 46.63%
    Valencia 28.43%
    Draw 24.92%
GironaDrawValencia
1-0 @ 10.02%
2-1 @ 9.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 7.92% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.91% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 4.17% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.89% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.65% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.14% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 46.63%
1-1 @ 11.8% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.35% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-2 @ 5.49%
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.92%
0-1 @ 7.48% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.95% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 4.4% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.16% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 1.73% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 28.43%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Girona 1-1 Athletic Bilbao
Monday, November 27 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 1-2 Girona
Saturday, November 11 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Osasuna 2-4 Girona
Saturday, November 4 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: San Roque de Lepe 1-2 Girona
Wednesday, November 1 at 11am in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Girona 1-0 Celta Vigo
Friday, October 27 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Girona 5-2 Almeria
Sunday, October 22 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valencia 0-0 Celta Vigo
Saturday, November 25 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 5-1 Valencia
Saturday, November 11 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valencia 1-0 Granada
Sunday, November 5 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: UD Logrones 0-2 Valencia
Thursday, November 2 at 7pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 2-2 Valencia
Sunday, October 29 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valencia 2-0 Cadiz
Monday, October 23 at 8pm in La Liga


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