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La Liga | Gameweek 16
Dec 8, 2023 at 8pm UK
Coliseum Alfonso Perez
VL

Getafe
1 - 0
Valencia

Mayoral (87')
Milla (57'), Dakonam (62')
Duarte (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Correia (42'), Paulista (43'), Baraja (43'), Foulquier (90+3')
Paulista (50'), Guerra (88')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atzeneta 1-2 Getafe
Tuesday, December 5 at 6pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Arosa 0-1 Valencia
Tuesday, December 5 at 8pm in Copa del Rey

We said: Getafe 1-1 Valencia

This is a really difficult match to call, especially considering how the two teams have performed in the league this season. Getafe have shared the points in seven of their 15 La Liga matches this term, and we are expecting the two teams to play out a low-scoring draw on Friday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Getafe win with a probability of 40.88%. A draw had a probability of 30% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 29.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Getafe win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.33%) and 2-1 (7.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.35%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Getafe in this match.

Result
GetafeDrawValencia
40.88% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05) 29.96% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 29.16% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 41.09% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.2% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)65.8% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.55% (-0.012 -0.01)84.45% (0.012999999999991 0.01)
Getafe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.28% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)31.72% (0.038 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.85% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)68.14% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.18% (0.024000000000001 0.02)39.82% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.51% (0.023 0.02)76.49% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Getafe 40.87%
    Valencia 29.16%
    Draw 29.95%
GetafeDrawValencia
1-0 @ 14.5%
2-0 @ 8.33% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.67% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.19% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.93% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.35% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 0.92% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 40.87%
1-1 @ 13.35%
0-0 @ 12.63% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.53%
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 29.95%
0-1 @ 11.63% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.15% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.36% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.89% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.64% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 29.16%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Atzeneta 1-2 Getafe
Tuesday, December 5 at 6pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Las Palmas 2-0 Getafe
Friday, December 1 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Getafe 2-1 Almeria
Saturday, November 25 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Granada 1-1 Getafe
Saturday, November 11 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Getafe 1-0 Cadiz
Monday, November 6 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Tardienta 0-12 Getafe
Wednesday, November 1 at 5.30pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Arosa 0-1 Valencia
Tuesday, December 5 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Girona 2-1 Valencia
Saturday, December 2 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valencia 0-0 Celta Vigo
Saturday, November 25 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 5-1 Valencia
Saturday, November 11 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valencia 1-0 Granada
Sunday, November 5 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: UD Logrones 0-2 Valencia
Thursday, November 2 at 7pm in Copa del Rey


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