Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 47.1%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Laval had a probability of 25.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.33%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Laval win it was 0-1 (9.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Caen in this match.
-0.28) 
0.23) 
