Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 40.94%. A win for Laval had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Laval win was 1-0 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
0.02) 
-0.04) 
