Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 44.19%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Laval had a probability of 27.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.88%) and 1-2 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.07%), while for a Laval win it was 1-0 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.