Australia will be determined to avoid a group-stage exit at their own tournament, and with Kerr set to return to the fold, we think that the Matildas will have the firepower required to claim a crucial victory in front of their own supporters.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada Women win with a probability of 82.91%. A draw had a probability of 11.7% and a win for Australia Women had a probability of 5.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Canada Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.19%) and 1-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.56%), while for an Australia Women win it was 0-1 (1.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Australia Women would win this match.
-0.01) 
0.04) 
