SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 37.81%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 37.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.96%) and 0-2 (5.8%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 2-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Cardiff City in this match.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff City | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
37.46% ( -7.03) | 24.74% ( 0.27) | 37.81% ( 6.76) |
| Both teams to score 58.73% ( 0.67) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.59% ( 0.17) | 44.42% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.21% ( 0.17) | 66.79% ( -0.17) |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.54% ( -3.29) | 23.46% ( 3.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.53% ( -5.02) | 57.47% ( 5.02) |
| Bristol Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.73% ( 4.01) | 23.27% ( -4.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.8% ( 5.51) | 57.2% ( -5.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cardiff City | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
| 2-1 @ 8.37% ( -0.79) 1-0 @ 7.92% ( -0.89)2-0 @ 5.74% ( -1.31)3-1 @ 4.04% ( -0.85)3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.23)3-0 @ 2.77% ( -0.99)4-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.49)4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.2)4-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.5)Other @ 2.13% Total : 37.46% | 1-1 @ 11.54% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.15)0-0 @ 5.46% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.74% | 1-2 @ 8.41% ( 0.98) 0-1 @ 7.96% ( 0.81)0-2 @ 5.8% ( 1.16)1-3 @ 4.09% ( 0.87)2-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.39)0-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.81)1-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.45)2-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.24)0-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.38)Other @ 2.17% Total : 37.81% |
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