SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 66.14%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 14.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.04%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.1%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 1-0 (4.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Carrick Rangers | Draw | Linfield |
14.56% ( -0.01) | 19.3% ( -0) | 66.14% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 52.73% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.23% ( -0.02) | 40.77% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.84% ( -0.02) | 63.16% ( 0.02) |
| Carrick Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.58% ( -0.03) | 40.42% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.96% ( -0.03) | 77.04% ( 0.03) |
| Linfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.52% ( 0) | 11.48% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.66% ( -0) | 36.34% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Carrick Rangers | Draw | Linfield |
| 1-0 @ 4.21% 2-1 @ 4.12% ( -0)2-0 @ 1.9% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.35% ( -0)3-1 @ 1.24% ( -0)Other @ 1.74% Total : 14.56% | 1-1 @ 9.1% 0-0 @ 4.64% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 19.3% | 0-2 @ 10.87% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 10.04% ( 0.01)1-2 @ 9.85% ( -0)0-3 @ 7.84% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 7.1% ( -0)0-4 @ 4.24% ( 0)1-4 @ 3.84% 2-3 @ 3.22% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.84% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.74% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.66% Other @ 3.88% Total : 66.13% |
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