SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 82.08%. A draw had a probability of 12.7% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 5.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.04%) and 1-0 (11.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.94%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 0-1 (2.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 15.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Linfield in this match.
| Result | ||
| Linfield | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
82.08% ( 0.06) | 12.7% ( -0.03) | 5.23% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 37.04% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.03% ( 0) | 39.97% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.67% ( 0) | 62.33% ( -0) |
| Linfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.54% ( 0.01) | 7.46% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.18% ( 0.03) | 26.82% ( -0.04) |
| Carrick Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 40.02% ( -0.1) | 59.97% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 9.36% ( -0.05) | 90.64% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Linfield | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
| 2-0 @ 15.07% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 13.04% ( 0.03)1-0 @ 11.61% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 8.46% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 7.71% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6.67% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 4.33% ( -0)5-1 @ 2.25% 6-0 @ 1.9% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0)6-1 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 2.87% Total : 82.07% | 1-1 @ 5.94% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.47% ( -0)2-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.32% Total : 12.7% | 0-1 @ 2.29% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.42% Total : 5.23% |
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