SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 67.05%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 13.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.57%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.32%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 0-1 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Linfield | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
67.05% ( -0.71) | 19.6% ( 0.4) | 13.36% ( 0.3) |
| Both teams to score 48.44% ( -0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.22% ( -1.08) | 44.78% ( 1.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.86% ( -1.05) | 67.14% ( 1.05) |
| Linfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.59% ( -0.52) | 12.41% ( 0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.69% ( -1.08) | 38.3% ( 1.08) |
| Carrick Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.3% ( -0.21) | 44.69% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.31% ( -0.17) | 80.69% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Linfield | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
| 2-0 @ 12.07% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 11.57% ( 0.31)2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 8.4% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 6.76% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 4.38% ( -0.15)4-1 @ 3.53% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 1.83% ( -0.1)5-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.15% Total : 67.04% | 1-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.25)2-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.81% Total : 19.6% | 0-1 @ 4.47% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 1.8% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.28% Total : 13.36% |
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