SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 78.91%. A draw had a probability of 12.8% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 8.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.12%) and 2-1 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.61%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 1-2 (2.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Linfield | Draw | Dungannon Swifts |
78.91% ( -0.09) | 12.76% ( 0.05) | 8.33% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 56.24% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.05% ( -0.08) | 25.95% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 53.85% ( -0.1) | 46.15% ( 0.1) |
| Linfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.82% ( -0.03) | 5.18% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 79.48% ( -0.09) | 20.52% ( 0.09) |
| Dungannon Swifts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.31% ( 0.03) | 40.69% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.72% ( 0.03) | 77.28% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Linfield | Draw | Dungannon Swifts |
| 2-0 @ 9.24% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 9.12% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 8.31% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 8.2% 4-0 @ 6.75% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 6.06% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 3.99% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.68% ( 0)5-1 @ 3.59% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.73% ( -0)6-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.61% ( -0)Other @ 5.66% Total : 78.91% | 1-1 @ 5.61% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.73% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 12.76% | 1-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 1.9% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.12% ( 0)Other @ 2.79% Total : 8.33% |
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