SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 76.11%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 8.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.59%) and 3-0 (10.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.45%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 0-1 (3.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Linfield | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
76.11% ( -0.24) | 15.69% ( 0.12) | 8.2% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 42.98% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.15% ( -0.11) | 41.85% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.74% ( -0.11) | 64.25% ( 0.12) |
| Linfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.73% ( -0.08) | 9.26% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.7% ( -0.2) | 31.3% ( 0.2) |
| Carrick Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.37% ( 0.22) | 52.63% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.58% ( 0.14) | 86.41% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Linfield | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
| 2-0 @ 13.79% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 11.59% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 10.94% ( -0.07)2-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 7.02% ( -0)4-0 @ 6.51% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 4.18% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 3.1% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.99% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.34% ( 0)6-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.3% Total : 76.09% | 1-1 @ 7.45% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.53% Total : 15.69% | 0-1 @ 3.13% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 1% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.67% Total : 8.2% |
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