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Copa del Rey | Round of 32
Jan 7, 2024 at 3pm UK
Nou Estadi Castalia
OL

Castellon
0 - 1
Osasuna


Jimenez (16'), Schreuder (17'), Indias (37'), de Leon (102'), Chirino (114'), Medunjanin (119')
FT
(aet)
Arnaiz (108')
Torro (46'), Budimir (119')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Castellon 2-1 Real Oviedo
Tuesday, December 5 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Osasuna 1-0 Almeria
Thursday, January 4 at 4pm in La Liga

We say: Castellon 0-1 Osasuna

The sides met in the first round back in 2004, with Osasuna coming out narrow 1-0 winners after extra time, and despite the gulf in positions on the pyramid, this could go in similar fashion. Castellon are in superb form in the third tier, but the class of the La Liga outfit should shine through, and last year's finalists are likely to book their place in the fourth round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 45.91%. A win for Castellon had a probability of 29.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Castellon win was 1-0 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%).

Result
CastellonDrawOsasuna
29.48% (-0.623 -0.62) 24.61% (0.155 0.16) 45.91% (0.465 0.46)
Both teams to score 56.66% (-0.911 -0.91)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.98% (-1.028 -1.03)46.02% (1.025 1.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.67% (-0.981 -0.98)68.32% (0.977 0.98)
Castellon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.95% (-0.946 -0.95)29.05% (0.943 0.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.04% (-1.184 -1.18)64.96% (1.182 1.18)
Osasuna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.86% (-0.21899999999999 -0.22)20.13% (0.216 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.6% (-0.349 -0.35)52.4% (0.346 0.35)
Score Analysis
    Castellon 29.48%
    Osasuna 45.91%
    Draw 24.6%
CastellonDrawOsasuna
1-0 @ 7.23% (0.125 0.13)
2-1 @ 7.16% (-0.112 -0.11)
2-0 @ 4.47% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.95% (-0.127 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.37% (-0.118 -0.12)
3-0 @ 1.84% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-1 @ 0.91% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 29.48%
1-1 @ 11.58% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 5.85% (0.25 0.25)
2-2 @ 5.74% (-0.13 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.6%
0-1 @ 9.37% (0.341 0.34)
1-2 @ 9.29% (0.038 0.04)
0-2 @ 7.51% (0.225 0.23)
1-3 @ 4.96% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.01% (0.093 0.09)
2-3 @ 3.07% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-4 @ 1.99% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.61% (0.027 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.23% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 45.91%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Castellon 2-1 Real Oviedo
Tuesday, December 5 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Cacereno 2-3 Castellon
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.45pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Malaga 3-0 Castellon
Sunday, May 30 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Castellon 0-2 Rayo Vallecano
Monday, May 24 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Zaragoza 3-0 Castellon
Thursday, May 20 at 8.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Castellon 0-2 Ponferradina
Saturday, May 15 at 3pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Osasuna 1-0 Almeria
Thursday, January 4 at 4pm in La Liga
Last Game: Mallorca 3-2 Osasuna
Thursday, December 21 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Osasuna 1-0 Rayo Vallecano
Friday, December 15 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Cadiz 1-1 Osasuna
Sunday, December 10 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Osasuna 1-1 Real Sociedad
Saturday, December 2 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Villarreal 3-1 Osasuna
Sunday, November 26 at 1pm in La Liga


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