This is a really interesting match, as both sides will feel that they should be higher up the table. All eyes will be on Marcelino in his first league game since returning as Villarreal boss, and we are expecting the Yellow Submarine to edge a close and competitive contest this weekend.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 58.05%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 20.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.52%) and 2-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for a Osasuna win it was 1-2 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
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