SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 58.05%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 20.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.52%) and 2-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for a Osasuna win it was 1-2 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Villarreal | Draw | Osasuna |
58.05% ( -0.21) | 21.72% ( 0.11) | 20.23% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 56.32% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.2% ( -0.37) | 41.8% ( 0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.8% ( -0.37) | 64.2% ( 0.37) |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.86% ( -0.19) | 14.14% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.2% ( -0.37) | 41.79% ( 0.37) |
| Osasuna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.59% ( -0.12) | 34.41% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.88% ( -0.13) | 71.12% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Villarreal | Draw | Osasuna |
| 2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.52% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 9.31% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 6.48% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 6.07% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 3.17% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.06% Total : 58.05% | 1-1 @ 10.15% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.72% | 1-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.19% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.93% 2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.06% Total : 20.23% |
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