SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 44.14%. A win for NK Olimpija Ljubljana had a probability of 32.11% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.77%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest NK Olimpija Ljubljana win was 1-2 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celje would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Celje | Draw | NK Olimpija Ljubljana |
44.14% ( -0.06) | 23.74% ( 0.02) | 32.11% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 61.11% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.21% ( -0.12) | 40.78% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.82% ( -0.12) | 63.17% ( 0.11) |
| Celje Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.23% ( -0.08) | 18.76% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.83% ( -0.12) | 50.16% ( 0.12) |
| NK Olimpija Ljubljana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.23% ( -0.04) | 24.76% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.67% ( -0.05) | 59.32% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Celje | Draw | NK Olimpija Ljubljana |
| 2-1 @ 9.08% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.77% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.5% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.06% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.63% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.45% Total : 44.14% | 1-1 @ 10.85% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.74% | 1-2 @ 7.58% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.49% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.53% 2-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.23% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 2.68% Total : 32.11% |
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