SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 59.43%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Rogaska had a probability of 18.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.5%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for a Rogaska win it was 1-0 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celje would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rogaska | Draw | Celje |
18.42% ( -0) | 22.14% ( 0) | 59.43% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 51.75% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.66% ( -0) | 46.33% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.38% ( -0) | 68.62% ( 0.01) |
| Rogaska Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.03% ( -0.01) | 38.96% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.31% ( -0.01) | 75.69% ( 0.01) |
| Celje Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.79% ( 0) | 15.21% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.14% ( -0) | 43.85% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rogaska | Draw | Celje |
| 1-0 @ 5.59% 2-1 @ 4.96% ( -0)2-0 @ 2.63% ( -0)3-1 @ 1.56% 3-2 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.22% Total : 18.42% | 1-1 @ 10.51% 0-0 @ 5.93% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.67% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.13% | 0-1 @ 11.16% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 10.5% 1-2 @ 9.91% 0-3 @ 6.6% ( 0)1-3 @ 6.22% ( -0)0-4 @ 3.11% 2-3 @ 2.93% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.93% 2-4 @ 1.38% 0-5 @ 1.17% 1-5 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.42% Total : 59.42% |
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