Girona have had an excellent season, but they have only won three of their 17 away league games this season, so it is difficult to back them to win with any real confidence, even against a struggling Celta side. The hosts will be desperate to avoid defeat on Tuesday, which could create a cagey match, and we are expecting the points to be shared here.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 54.8%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Girona had a probability of 20.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Girona win it was 0-1 (6.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
-0.73) 
0.43) 
