Girona are very strong at home and Mallorca have been poor on the road, so the hosts look likeliest to keep their own respective European push going.
It has never been a fixture blessed with many goals, as the last 11 meetings have all seen two goals or fewer.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 50.74%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 23.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
-0.07) 
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