SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 44.94%. A win for Girona had a probability of 29.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Girona win was 0-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Valladolid in this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Girona |
44.94% ( -0.07) | 25.8% ( -0) | 29.26% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 52.66% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.8% ( 0.08) | 51.21% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.96% ( 0.07) | 73.05% ( -0.06) |
| Real Valladolid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.27% | 22.73% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.6% ( -0) | 56.41% ( 0.01) |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.15% ( 0.11) | 31.86% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.7% ( 0.12) | 68.3% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Girona |
| 1-0 @ 10.72% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.09% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.95% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.49% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.92% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.66% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 2.13% Total : 44.93% | 1-1 @ 12.27% 0-0 @ 7.24% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.8% | 0-1 @ 8.28% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.02% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.76% Total : 29.26% |
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