Girona will be missing a number of important players for this match, but we are finding it hard to back them to lose due to their recent form. Real Valladolid are also impressing under their new manager, so we have ultimately settled on a draw in this weekend's contest.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 44.94%. A win for Girona had a probability of 29.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Girona win was 0-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Valladolid in this match.
-0.07) 
0.09) 
