SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 45%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 27.59% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.73%) and 2-1 (8.72%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Valencia |
45% ( -0.04) | 27.41% ( -0.05) | 27.59% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 46.87% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.83% ( 0.21) | 58.17% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.18% ( 0.17) | 78.82% ( -0.17) |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.23% ( 0.08) | 25.77% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.29% ( 0.11) | 60.71% ( -0.1) |
| Valencia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.14% ( 0.19) | 36.86% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.36% ( 0.19) | 73.64% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Valencia |
| 1-0 @ 12.87% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 8.73% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 8.72% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.95% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.94% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.34% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.34% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.14% Total : 44.99% | 1-1 @ 12.85% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.5% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.41% | 0-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.42% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.81% Total : 27.59% |
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