SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central African Republic win with a probability of 95.96%. A draw had a probability of 3.2% and a win for Chad had a probability of 0.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central African Republic win was 4-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.76%) and 5-0 (11.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (1.5%), while for a Chad win it was 0-1 (0.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Central African Republic in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Central African Republic.
| Result | ||
| Central African Republic | Draw | Chad |
95.96% ( 0.02) | 3.15% ( -0.02) | 0.88% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 32.82% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 85.44% ( 0.05) | 14.56% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 70.09% ( 0.09) | 29.91% ( -0.09) |
| Central African Republic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 98.72% ( 0) | 1.27% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 93.17% ( 0.03) | 6.83% ( -0.04) |
| Chad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 33.24% ( -0.03) | 66.76% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 6.26% ( -0.01) | 93.73% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Central African Republic | Draw | Chad |
| 4-0 @ 12.84% 3-0 @ 11.76% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 11.2% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 8.15% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 8.09% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 5.19% ( -0.01)7-0 @ 5.08% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.76% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 4.53% ( 0)1-0 @ 3.71% ( -0.02)6-1 @ 3.29% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 3.27% ( -0.01)8-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.02)7-1 @ 2.05% ( 0.01)9-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.01)8-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0)3-2 @ 0.96% ( -0)5-2 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 3.86% Total : 95.94% | 1-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.66% Total : 3.15% | Other @ 0.88% Total : 0.88% |
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