SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Morocco | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Gabon | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Comoros | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 4 | Ghana | 3 | -2 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central African Republic win with a probability of 42.08%. A win for Comoros had a probability of 29.18% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central African Republic win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.35%) and 1-2 (8.15%). The likeliest Comoros win was 1-0 (10.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Comoros would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Comoros | Draw | Central African Republic |
29.18% ( -1.91) | 28.74% ( 0.47) | 42.08% ( 1.43) |
| Both teams to score 44.18% ( -2.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.99% ( -2.15) | 62% ( 2.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.26% ( -1.62) | 81.74% ( 1.61) |
| Comoros Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.33% ( -2.63) | 37.67% ( 2.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.55% ( -2.66) | 74.44% ( 2.66) |
| Central African Republic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.88% ( -0.24) | 29.12% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.95% ( -0.3) | 65.04% ( 0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Comoros | Draw | Central African Republic |
| 1-0 @ 10.7% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 6.45% ( -0.46)2-0 @ 5.23% ( -0.34)3-1 @ 2.1% ( -0.32)3-0 @ 1.7% ( -0.24)3-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.21)Other @ 1.7% Total : 29.17% | 1-1 @ 13.21% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 10.96% ( 0.84)2-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.31)Other @ 0.58% Total : 28.72% | 0-1 @ 13.53% ( 0.97) 0-2 @ 8.35% ( 0.54)1-2 @ 8.15% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.2)1-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.14)0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.53% Total : 42.07% |
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