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World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Nov 17, 2023 at 1pm UK
Stade de Moroni
CA
Comoros
4 - 2
CAR
M'Dahoma (29'), Youssouf (50'), Said (58'), Maolida (67')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hakim Abdallah (10' og.), Zahary (73' og.)
Namnganda (67'), Ndobe (90+2')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Cape Verde 1-2 Comoros
Tuesday, October 17 at 2pm in International Friendlies
Current Group C Standings P GD PTS
1Morocco337
2Gabon315
3Comoros3-23
4Ghana3-21
Last Game: Ghana 2-1 CAR
Thursday, September 7 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Comoros 1-0 Central African Republic

Given the nature of the occasion for both teams, we are expecting a nervy and cagey affair with little goalmouth action at either end. That said, we can see the home side just about managing to see off the threat of their visitors en route to a narrow win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central African Republic win with a probability of 42.08%. A win for Comoros had a probability of 29.18% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central African Republic win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.35%) and 1-2 (8.15%). The likeliest Comoros win was 1-0 (10.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Comoros would win this match.

Result
ComorosDrawCentral African Republic
29.18% (-1.905 -1.91) 28.74% (0.469 0.47) 42.08% (1.432 1.43)
Both teams to score 44.18% (-2.02 -2.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.99% (-2.152 -2.15)62% (2.148 2.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.26% (-1.615 -1.62)81.74% (1.611 1.61)
Comoros Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.33% (-2.63 -2.63)37.67% (2.626 2.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.55% (-2.661 -2.66)74.44% (2.657 2.66)
Central African Republic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.88% (-0.24299999999999 -0.24)29.12% (0.238 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.95% (-0.299 -0.3)65.04% (0.295 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Comoros 29.17%
    Central African Republic 42.07%
    Draw 28.72%
ComorosDrawCentral African Republic
1-0 @ 10.7% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 6.45% (-0.461 -0.46)
2-0 @ 5.23% (-0.336 -0.34)
3-1 @ 2.1% (-0.317 -0.32)
3-0 @ 1.7% (-0.243 -0.24)
3-2 @ 1.3% (-0.205 -0.21)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 29.17%
1-1 @ 13.21% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 10.96% (0.84 0.84)
2-2 @ 3.98% (-0.313 -0.31)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 28.72%
0-1 @ 13.53% (0.97 0.97)
0-2 @ 8.35% (0.542 0.54)
1-2 @ 8.15% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.43% (0.201 0.2)
1-3 @ 3.35% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.64% (-0.141 -0.14)
0-4 @ 1.06% (0.056 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.03% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 42.07%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Cape Verde 1-2 Comoros
Tuesday, October 17 at 2pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Comoros 1-1 Zambia
Saturday, September 9 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Malawi 2-0 Comoros
Tuesday, July 11 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Zambia 2-1 Comoros
Sunday, July 9 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Seychelles 0-3 Comoros
Thursday, July 6 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Lesotho 0-1 Comoros
Saturday, June 17 at 3pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Ghana 2-1 CAR
Thursday, September 7 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: CAR 1-2 Angola
Saturday, June 17 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: CAR 2-0 Madagascar
Monday, March 27 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Madagascar 0-3 CAR
Thursday, March 23 at 1pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: CAR 1-1 Ghana
Sunday, June 5 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Angola 2-1 CAR
Wednesday, June 1 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

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