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Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 7, 2023 at 5pm UK
Baba Yara Stadium
CA
Ghana
2 - 1
CAR
Kudus (43'), Nuamah (88')
Djiku (47')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mafouta (25')
Pirioua (24'), Yangao (29')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Madagascar 0-0 Ghana
Sunday, June 18 at 3pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: CAR 1-2 Angola
Saturday, June 17 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Ghana 2-0 Central African Republic

With qualification on the line, we anticipate Ghana and Central African Republic to take the game to each other from the get-go. However, given the gulf in quality and experience between the two sides, we fancy the Black Stars claiming all three points in front of their home supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ghana win with a probability of 79.71%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Central African Republic had a probability of 5.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ghana win was 2-0 with a probability of 17.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.53%) and 3-0 (13.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (6.86%), while for a Central African Republic win it was 0-1 (2.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ghana would win this match.

Result
GhanaDrawCentral African Republic
79.71% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06) 14.98% (0.039 0.04) 5.31% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Both teams to score 30.41% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.13% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)49.87% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.14% (-0.07 -0.07)71.86% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Ghana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.61% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)10.38% (0.035 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.1% (-0.081999999999994 -0.08)33.9% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Central African Republic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
33.93% (0.012999999999998 0.01)66.07% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
6.54% (0.0049000000000001 0)93.45% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Ghana 79.69%
    Central African Republic 5.31%
    Draw 14.98%
GhanaDrawCentral African Republic
2-0 @ 17.59%
1-0 @ 15.53% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 13.28% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
4-0 @ 7.52% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.29% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 5.51% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 3.41% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.12% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.41% (-0.006 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.29% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 79.69%
0-0 @ 6.86% (0.022 0.02)
1-1 @ 6.44% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 1.51% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 14.98%
0-1 @ 2.84% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 1.34% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.14%
Total : 5.31%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Madagascar 0-0 Ghana
Sunday, June 18 at 3pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Angola 1-1 Ghana
Monday, March 27 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Ghana 1-0 Angola
Thursday, March 23 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Niger 2-0 Ghana
Saturday, January 28 at 7pm in African Nations Championship
Last Game: Ghana 3-1 Sudan
Thursday, January 19 at 7pm in African Nations Championship
Last Game: Madagascar 2-1 Ghana
Sunday, January 15 at 7pm in African Nations Championship
Last Game: CAR 1-2 Angola
Saturday, June 17 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: CAR 2-0 Madagascar
Monday, March 27 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Madagascar 0-3 CAR
Thursday, March 23 at 1pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: CAR 1-1 Ghana
Sunday, June 5 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Angola 2-1 CAR
Wednesday, June 1 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Sudan 0-0 CAR
Saturday, March 26 at 12pm in International Friendlies

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