SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angola win with a probability of 74.42%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Central African Republic had a probability of 7.65%.
The most likely scoreline for an Angola win was 0-2 with a probability of 16.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (16.05%) and 0-3 (11.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.9%), while for a Central African Republic win it was 1-0 (3.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Angola would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Central African Republic | Draw | Angola |
7.65% ( -0.54) | 17.92% ( -1.23) | 74.42% ( 1.77) |
| Both teams to score 33.9% ( 0.93) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.95% ( 2.9) | 53.04% ( -2.9) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.37% ( 2.41) | 74.63% ( -2.41) |
| Central African Republic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 38.85% ( 0.44) | 61.15% ( -0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 8.77% ( 0.22) | 91.23% ( -0.22) |
| Angola Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.26% ( 1.42) | 12.74% ( -1.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.01% ( 2.85) | 38.99% ( -2.85) |
| Score Analysis |
| Central African Republic | Draw | Angola |
| 1-0 @ 3.83% ( -0.4) 2-1 @ 1.94% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.94% Total : 7.66% | 1-1 @ 7.9% ( -0.37) 0-0 @ 7.79% ( -0.93)2-2 @ 2% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.24% Total : 17.92% | 0-2 @ 16.53% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 16.05% ( -0.99)0-3 @ 11.35% ( 0.5)1-2 @ 8.13% ( 0.06)0-4 @ 5.85% ( 0.54)1-3 @ 5.59% ( 0.32)1-4 @ 2.88% ( 0.31)0-5 @ 2.41% ( 0.34)2-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.1)1-5 @ 1.19% ( 0.18)Other @ 3.05% Total : 74.4% |
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