Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 46.86%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 30.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.95%) and 0-2 (6.36%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Sydney FC |
30.44% ( -0.49) | 22.69% ( -0.14) | 46.86% ( 0.63) |
Both teams to score 64.1% ( 0.25) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.49% ( 0.44) | 36.5% ( -0.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.35% ( 0.48) | 58.65% ( -0.48) |
Central Coast Mariners Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.32% ( -0.07) | 23.67% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.22% ( -0.1) | 57.78% ( 0.1) |
Sydney FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.98% ( 0.4) | 16.02% ( -0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.64% ( 0.73) | 45.36% ( -0.73) |
Score Analysis |
Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Sydney FC |
2-1 @ 7.21% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 5.46% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 3.94% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 3.46% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.17% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.89% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 2.92% Total : 30.44% | 1-1 @ 10% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 6.6% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.79% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.36% Total : 22.68% | 1-2 @ 9.16% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 6.36% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 5.59% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 4.03% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 3.88% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 2.56% ( 0.08) 2-4 @ 1.85% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 1.78% ( 0.06) 1-5 @ 0.94% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.77% Total : 46.86% |
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