SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 50.76%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 26.47% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.14%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Central Coast Mariners in this match.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
26.47% ( 0.57) | 22.77% ( 0.75) | 50.76% ( -1.33) |
| Both teams to score 60.69% ( -2.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.34% ( -3.09) | 39.66% ( 3.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.99% ( -3.29) | 62.01% ( 3.28) |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.08% ( -1.22) | 27.91% ( 1.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.46% ( -1.58) | 63.53% ( 1.57) |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.2% ( -1.56) | 15.8% ( 1.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.04% ( -2.95) | 44.96% ( 2.94) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
| 2-1 @ 6.63% ( 0.16) 1-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.6)2-0 @ 3.59% ( 0.27)3-1 @ 2.82% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.17)3-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.68% Total : 26.47% | 1-1 @ 10.38% ( 0.59) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.18)0-0 @ 4.41% ( 0.61)3-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.2)Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.76% | 1-2 @ 9.58% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 8.14% ( 0.72)0-2 @ 7.51% ( 0.28)1-3 @ 5.89% ( -0.3)0-3 @ 4.62% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 3.76% ( -0.33)1-4 @ 2.72% ( -0.3)0-4 @ 2.13% ( -0.16)2-4 @ 1.73% ( -0.26)1-5 @ 1% ( -0.17)Other @ 3.68% Total : 50.76% |
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