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J1 League | Gameweek 11
May 3, 2024 at 7am UK
Yanmar Stadium Nagai

Cerezo
1 - 1
Consadole

Ceara (71' pen.)
Petrovic (0')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Asano (27')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Cerezo Osaka and Consadole Sapporo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cerezo 2-2 Yokohama
Saturday, April 27 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Consadole 3-3 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, April 27 at 5am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 44.4%. A win for Consadole Sapporo had a probability of 31.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Consadole Sapporo win was 1-2 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
Cerezo OsakaDrawConsadole Sapporo
44.4% (-0.86 -0.86) 24.36% (-0.123 -0.12) 31.24% (0.981 0.98)
Both teams to score 58.51% (0.947 0.95)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.96% (1.013 1.01)44.03% (-1.014 -1.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.58% (0.978 0.98)66.41% (-0.98099999999999 -0.98)
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.02% (0.042999999999992 0.04)19.97% (-0.044 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.85% (0.067 0.07)52.15% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Consadole Sapporo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.12% (1.144 1.14)26.88% (-1.145 -1.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.8% (1.479 1.48)62.19% (-1.48 -1.48)
Score Analysis
    Cerezo Osaka 44.4%
    Consadole Sapporo 31.24%
    Draw 24.36%
Cerezo OsakaDrawConsadole Sapporo
2-1 @ 9.15% (-0.081999999999999 -0.08)
1-0 @ 8.65% (-0.376 -0.38)
2-0 @ 6.97% (-0.293 -0.29)
3-1 @ 4.91% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.74% (-0.152 -0.15)
3-2 @ 3.23% (0.078 0.08)
4-1 @ 1.98% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.51% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.3% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 44.4%
1-1 @ 11.36% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-2 @ 6.01% (0.139 0.14)
0-0 @ 5.37% (-0.241 -0.24)
3-3 @ 1.41% (0.078 0.08)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.36%
1-2 @ 7.46% (0.163 0.16)
0-1 @ 7.05% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-2 @ 4.63% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
1-3 @ 3.27% (0.173 0.17)
2-3 @ 2.63% (0.142 0.14)
0-3 @ 2.03% (0.105 0.11)
1-4 @ 1.07% (0.09 0.09)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 31.24%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Cerezo 2-2 Yokohama
Saturday, April 27 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 2-1 Cerezo
Sunday, April 21 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 1-0 Kawasaki
Saturday, April 13 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 0-1 Cerezo
Sunday, April 7 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 1-1 Cerezo
Wednesday, April 3 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 2-0 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, March 30 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Consadole 3-3 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, April 27 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Consadole 1-1 Hiroshima
Saturday, April 20 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 1-1 Consadole
Saturday, April 13 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Consadole 1-0 Gamba Osaka
Saturday, April 6 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Consadole 1-2 Nagoya Grampus
Wednesday, April 3 at 11.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 6-1 Consadole
Saturday, March 30 at 5am in J1 League


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