Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Consadole Sapporo win with a probability of 54.02%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 22.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Consadole Sapporo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%), while for a Gamba Osaka win it was 0-1 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Consadole Sapporo in this match.