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J1 League | Gameweek 12
May 7, 2023 at 6am UK
Yanmar Stadium Nagai

Cerezo
0 - 1
Kashima Antlers


Tameda (4'), Toriumi (56')
Uejo (71')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sekigawa (67')
Hirose (1')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Cerezo Osaka and Kashima Antlers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gamba Osaka 1-2 Cerezo
Wednesday, May 3 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Consadole 0-1 Kashima Antlers
Wednesday, May 3 at 6am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 42.08%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 29.96% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (8.1%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Kashima Antlers in this match.

Result
Cerezo OsakaDrawKashima Antlers
29.96% (0.211 0.21) 27.96% (0.391 0.39) 42.08% (-0.599 -0.6)
Both teams to score 46.61% (-1.004 -1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.88% (-1.316 -1.32)59.12% (1.319 1.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.44% (-1.027 -1.03)79.56% (1.03 1.03)
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.5% (-0.542 -0.54)35.5% (0.544 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.74% (-0.567 -0.57)72.26% (0.56999999999999 0.57)
Kashima Antlers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.26% (-0.94 -0.94)27.73% (0.942 0.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.7% (-1.221 -1.22)63.3% (1.224 1.22)
Score Analysis
    Cerezo Osaka 29.95%
    Kashima Antlers 42.07%
    Draw 27.95%
Cerezo OsakaDrawKashima Antlers
1-0 @ 10.19% (0.347 0.35)
2-1 @ 6.77% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.28% (0.107 0.11)
3-1 @ 2.34% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-0 @ 1.82% (0.01 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.5% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 29.95%
1-1 @ 13.07% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 9.84% (0.48 0.48)
2-2 @ 4.34% (-0.145 -0.15)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 27.95%
0-1 @ 12.62% (0.29 0.29)
1-2 @ 8.39% (-0.152 -0.15)
0-2 @ 8.1% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.59% (-0.164 -0.16)
0-3 @ 3.46% (-0.105 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.86% (-0.113 -0.11)
1-4 @ 1.15% (-0.085 -0.09)
0-4 @ 1.11% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 42.07%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Gamba Osaka 1-2 Cerezo
Wednesday, May 3 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 0-1 Hiroshima
Saturday, April 29 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 1-0 Reysol
Sunday, April 23 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 1-2 Cerezo
Saturday, April 15 at 8am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 2-3 Consadole
Sunday, April 9 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 2-1 Yokohama
Saturday, April 1 at 8am in J1 League
Last Game: Consadole 0-1 Kashima Antlers
Wednesday, May 3 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Kashima Antlers 4-0 Gamba Osaka
Saturday, April 29 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 0-2 Kashima Antlers
Sunday, April 23 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Kashima Antlers 1-5 Vissel Kobe
Saturday, April 15 at 8am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 1-0 Kashima Antlers
Sunday, April 9 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Kashima Antlers 1-2 Hiroshima
Saturday, April 1 at 7am in J1 League


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