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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 47.97%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 28.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.88%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 2-1 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cerezo Osaka | Draw | Yokohama F Marinos |
28.18% ( 0.16) | 23.85% ( 0.14) | 47.97% ( -0.31) |
| Both teams to score 58.35% ( -0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.6% ( -0.53) | 43.39% ( 0.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.21% ( -0.52) | 65.79% ( 0.52) |
| Cerezo Osaka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.37% ( -0.15) | 28.62% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.57% ( -0.19) | 64.43% ( 0.19) |
| Yokohama F Marinos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.75% ( -0.32) | 18.24% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.72% ( -0.55) | 49.28% ( 0.55) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cerezo Osaka | Draw | Yokohama F Marinos |
| 2-1 @ 6.95% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 4.09% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 2.9% 3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 2.63% Total : 28.18% | 1-1 @ 11.11% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 5.22% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.85% | 1-2 @ 9.45% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.88% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 7.56% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 5.36% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 4.29% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 2.28% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.82% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.54% Total : 47.97% |
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