Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 38.5%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 34.11% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 (10.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
FC Tokyo	Draw	Cerezo Osaka
38.5% ( 0.09)	27.39% ( 0.02)	34.11% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 49.5% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.93% (

-0.08)

56.07% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.86% (

-0.06)

77.14% (

0.07)

FC Tokyo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.72% (

0.01)

28.28% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36% (

0.02)

64% (

-0.01)

Cerezo Osaka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.02% (

-0.11)

30.98% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.72% (

-0.13)

67.28% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

FC Tokyo 38.49%

Cerezo Osaka 34.11%

Draw 27.39%

FC Tokyo	Draw	Cerezo Osaka
1-0 @ 11.06% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.19% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.99% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.45% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.94% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.09% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.83% Total : 38.49%	1-1 @ 12.96% 0-0 @ 8.76% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.39%	0-1 @ 10.26% 1-2 @ 7.6% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.04% Total : 34.11%