Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 54.65%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 20.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.78%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a Gamba Osaka win it was 0-1 (7.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kashima Antlers would win this match.
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