Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 45.87%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 27.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (8.5%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kashima Antlers would win this match.
