SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 41.59%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 32.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cerezo Osaka | Draw | Kashiwa Reysol |
32.77% ( 0.22) | 25.64% ( 0.09) | 41.59% ( -0.31) |
| Both teams to score 54.76% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.8% ( -0.34) | 49.2% ( 0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.73% ( -0.31) | 71.27% ( 0.31) |
| Cerezo Osaka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.56% ( -0.03) | 28.44% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.8% ( -0.04) | 64.2% ( 0.04) |
| Kashiwa Reysol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.52% ( -0.3) | 23.48% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.5% ( -0.44) | 57.5% ( 0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cerezo Osaka | Draw | Kashiwa Reysol |
| 1-0 @ 8.4% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 7.65% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 3.21% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.21% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 2.7% Total : 32.77% | 1-1 @ 12.16% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.64% | 0-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.82% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 7.01% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 4.26% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 3.39% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.54% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.02% Total : 41.59% |
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