Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 46.57%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.61%), while for a Kashiwa Reysol win it was 0-1 (8.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
