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J1 League | Gameweek 27
Aug 17, 2024 at 11am UK
Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka (Hiratsuka)

Shonan Bellmare
1 - 2
Reysol

Abe (90+9' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hosoya (53'), Kinoshita (76')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Shonan Bellmare and Kashiwa Reysol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Machida Zelvia 0-1 Shonan Bellmare
Sunday, August 11 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 0-0 Gamba Osaka
Sunday, August 11 at 11am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 38.48%. A win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 34.11% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Shonan Bellmare win was 1-0 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kashiwa Reysol would win this match.

Result
Shonan BellmareDrawKashiwa Reysol
34.11% (0.442 0.44) 27.4% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08) 38.48% (-0.357 -0.36)
Both teams to score 49.47% (0.335 0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.9% (0.384 0.38)56.1% (-0.382 -0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.83% (0.31 0.31)77.17% (-0.309 -0.31)
Shonan Bellmare Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69% (0.486 0.49)30.99% (-0.484 -0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.7% (0.564 0.56)67.3% (-0.562 -0.56)
Kashiwa Reysol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.69% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)28.31% (0.022000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.96% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)64.03% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Shonan Bellmare 34.11%
    Kashiwa Reysol 38.48%
    Draw 27.4%
Shonan BellmareDrawKashiwa Reysol
1-0 @ 10.27% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.6% (0.086 0.09)
2-0 @ 6.02% (0.071 0.07)
3-1 @ 2.97% (0.072 0.07)
3-0 @ 2.35% (0.058 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.87% (0.045 0.05)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 34.11%
1-1 @ 12.97% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.77% (-0.129 -0.13)
2-2 @ 4.79% (0.050999999999999 0.05)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.4%
0-1 @ 11.07% (-0.17 -0.17)
1-2 @ 8.19% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.99% (-0.113 -0.11)
1-3 @ 3.44% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.94% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.02% (0.021 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.09% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 0.93% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 38.48%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Machida Zelvia 0-1 Shonan Bellmare
Sunday, August 11 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 1-1 Avispa Fukuoka
Wednesday, August 7 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Gamba Osaka 0-1 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, July 20 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 5-0 Jubilo Iwata
Sunday, July 14 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Urawa 2-3 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, July 6 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 0-1 Kyoto Sanga
Sunday, June 30 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 0-0 Gamba Osaka
Sunday, August 11 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 0-1 Reysol
Tuesday, July 30 at 2am in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Reysol 2-3 Kawasaki
Saturday, July 20 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 2-1 Reysol
Sunday, July 14 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 3-2 FC Tokyo
Saturday, July 6 at 11.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 1-4 Reysol
Sunday, June 30 at 11am in J1 League


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