SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 46.96%. A win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 28.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.37%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kashiwa Reysol | Draw | Cerezo Osaka |
28.55% ( -0.63) | 24.49% ( -0.24) | 46.96% ( 0.88) |
| Both teams to score 56.44% ( 0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.96% ( 0.71) | 46.04% ( -0.71) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.66% ( 0.67) | 68.34% ( -0.67) |
| Kashiwa Reysol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.29% ( -0.09) | 29.71% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.23% ( -0.11) | 65.77% ( 0.11) |
| Cerezo Osaka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.3% ( 0.66) | 19.7% ( -0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.3% ( 1.06) | 51.7% ( -1.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kashiwa Reysol | Draw | Cerezo Osaka |
| 1-0 @ 7.1% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 7% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 4.31% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 2.83% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.26% Total : 28.55% | 1-1 @ 11.54% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 5.85% ( -0.18)2-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.49% | 0-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 9.37% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 7.72% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 5.08% ( 0.15)0-3 @ 4.18% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 2.06% ( 0.1)0-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.09)2-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.06)Other @ 3% Total : 46.96% |
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