SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cesena win with a probability of 60.88%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Catanzaro had a probability of 16.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cesena win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.74%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%), while for a Catanzaro win it was 0-1 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cesena would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cesena | Draw | Catanzaro |
60.88% ( -1.15) | 22.53% ( 0.6) | 16.6% ( 0.55) |
| Both teams to score 47.08% ( -0.66) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.25% ( -1.49) | 50.75% ( 1.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.35% ( -1.33) | 72.65% ( 1.33) |
| Cesena Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.76% ( -0.89) | 16.24% ( 0.89) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.25% ( -1.64) | 45.75% ( 1.65) |
| Catanzaro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.21% ( -0.18) | 43.79% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.05% ( -0.15) | 79.95% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cesena | Draw | Catanzaro |
| 1-0 @ 12.92% ( 0.38) 2-0 @ 11.74% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 7.12% ( -0.22)3-1 @ 5.88% ( -0.22)4-0 @ 3.24% ( -0.21)4-1 @ 2.67% ( -0.18)3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.1)5-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.11)4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.08)5-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.1)Other @ 1.92% Total : 60.87% | 1-1 @ 10.67% ( 0.26) 0-0 @ 7.11% ( 0.42)2-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.74% Total : 22.52% | 0-1 @ 5.87% ( 0.32) 1-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.58% Total : 16.6% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
