SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 38.73%. A win for Catanzaro had a probability of 36.3% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Catanzaro win was 2-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Catanzaro | Draw | Sassuolo |
36.3% ( 0.01) | 24.96% ( -0.04) | 38.73% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 57.85% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.48% ( 0.17) | 45.52% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.15% ( 0.17) | 67.85% ( -0.17) |
| Catanzaro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.41% ( 0.09) | 24.58% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.92% ( 0.12) | 59.07% ( -0.12) |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.71% ( 0.09) | 23.29% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.77% ( 0.13) | 57.22% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Catanzaro | Draw | Sassuolo |
| 2-1 @ 8.21% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.03% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 5.64% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.84% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.64% 4-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 1.89% Total : 36.3% | 1-1 @ 11.7% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 5.73% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.96% | 1-2 @ 8.53% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.34% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.14% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.95% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.08% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.14% Total : 38.73% |
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