SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sierra Leone | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sierra Leone win with a probability of 38.84%. A win for Chad had a probability of 31.59% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sierra Leone win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.67%) and 1-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Chad win was 1-0 (11.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chad | Draw | Sierra Leone |
31.59% ( -0.01) | 29.57% | 38.84% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 42.85% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.95% ( 0.01) | 64.05% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.78% ( 0) | 83.22% ( -0) |
| Chad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.05% ( 0) | 36.95% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.27% ( 0) | 73.73% ( 0) |
| Sierra Leone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.95% ( 0.01) | 32.05% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.49% ( 0.01) | 68.51% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chad | Draw | Sierra Leone |
| 1-0 @ 11.78% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.68% 2-0 @ 5.87% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.22% 3-0 @ 1.95% 3-2 @ 1.26% Other @ 1.83% Total : 31.58% | 1-1 @ 13.41% 0-0 @ 11.84% 2-2 @ 3.8% ( 0)Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.57% | 0-1 @ 13.47% 0-2 @ 7.67% ( 0)1-2 @ 7.63% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.91% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.9% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.44% ( 0)Other @ 2.82% Total : 38.84% |
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