SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Morocco | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Congo DR | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Zambia | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Tanzania | 3 | -3 | 2 |
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sierra Leone | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 52.66%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Sierra Leone had a probability of 21.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Sierra Leone win it was 0-1 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zambia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Zambia | Draw | Sierra Leone |
52.66% ( -0.48) | 25.82% ( 0.25) | 21.51% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 45.64% ( -0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.11% ( -0.63) | 56.89% ( 0.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.19% ( -0.51) | 77.81% ( 0.51) |
| Zambia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.32% ( -0.46) | 21.68% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.18% ( -0.71) | 54.82% ( 0.72) |
| Sierra Leone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.27% ( -0.11) | 41.72% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.8% ( -0.1) | 78.19% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zambia | Draw | Sierra Leone |
| 1-0 @ 13.82% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 10.57% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 9.24% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 5.39% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 4.71% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 2.06% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.8% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.01% Total : 52.65% | 1-1 @ 12.08% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 9.04% ( 0.22)2-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.65% Total : 25.82% | 0-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 1.54% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.15% Total : 21.51% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
