SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Comoros win with a probability of 45.74%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Chad had a probability of 25.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Comoros win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.54%) and 1-2 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.99%), while for a Chad win it was 1-0 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Comoros would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chad | Draw | Comoros |
25.32% ( -0.17) | 28.94% ( -0.06) | 45.74% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 41.41% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.7% ( 0.08) | 64.29% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.61% ( 0.06) | 83.39% ( -0.06) |
| Chad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.72% ( -0.12) | 42.28% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.32% ( -0.1) | 78.67% ( 0.1) |
| Comoros Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.74% ( 0.16) | 28.26% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.03% ( 0.2) | 63.97% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chad | Draw | Comoros |
| 1-0 @ 10.28% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 5.6% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 4.43% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 1.12% Total : 25.31% | 1-1 @ 12.99% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 11.94% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 3.54% ( -0)Other @ 0.46% Total : 28.92% | 0-1 @ 15.09% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 9.54% ( 0.06)1-2 @ 8.21% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 4.02% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.46% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.56% Total : 45.74% |
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