SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sierra Leone | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 6 | 7 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Ivory Coast | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -5 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 61.67%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Sierra Leone had a probability of 15.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.06%) and 1-2 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Sierra Leone win it was 1-0 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sierra Leone | Draw | Ivory Coast |
15.95% ( -0.17) | 22.38% ( -0.25) | 61.67% ( 0.43) |
| Both teams to score 46.17% ( 0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.74% ( 0.68) | 51.26% ( -0.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.91% ( 0.59) | 73.1% ( -0.59) |
| Sierra Leone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.06% ( 0.17) | 44.95% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.11% ( 0.14) | 80.89% ( -0.13) |
| Ivory Coast Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.85% ( 0.38) | 16.15% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.41% ( 0.69) | 45.59% ( -0.68) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sierra Leone | Draw | Ivory Coast |
| 1-0 @ 5.8% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 4.23% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 2.32% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 1.13% 3-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.44% Total : 15.95% | 1-1 @ 10.58% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 7.26% ( -0.2)2-2 @ 3.86% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.69% Total : 22.38% | 0-1 @ 13.23% ( -0.19) 0-2 @ 12.06% ( -0.02)1-2 @ 9.65% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 7.33% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 5.87% ( 0.09)0-4 @ 3.34% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 2.67% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.05)0-5 @ 1.22% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.03)1-5 @ 0.98% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.9% Total : 61.66% |
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