SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 6 | 7 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Ivory Coast | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -5 | 0 |
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sierra Leone | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 81.67%. A draw had a probability of 13.2% and a win for Sierra Leone had a probability of 5.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.38%) and 1-0 (12.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.04%), while for a Sierra Leone win it was 0-1 (2.43%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ivory Coast would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ivory Coast | Draw | Sierra Leone |
81.67% ( 0.03) | 13.24% ( -0) | 5.08% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 34.12% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.63% ( -0.14) | 43.36% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.24% ( -0.14) | 65.76% ( 0.14) |
| Ivory Coast Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.69% ( -0.03) | 8.3% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.02% ( -0.06) | 28.97% ( 0.06) |
| Sierra Leone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 37.22% ( -0.19) | 62.78% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 7.99% ( -0.09) | 92% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ivory Coast | Draw | Sierra Leone |
| 2-0 @ 16.14% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 13.38% ( 0.03)1-0 @ 12.97% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 8.33% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 7.52% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6.23% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 4.15% 4-1 @ 3.88% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.93% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 1.72% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.9% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.07% Total : 81.66% | 1-1 @ 6.04% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.21% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.24% Total : 13.24% | 0-1 @ 2.43% ( -0) 1-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.25% Total : 5.08% |
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