Both Chateauroux and Le Havre have been in free-scoring mode of late, and it is hard to see either of them coming away with a clean sheet. That said, we are backing the away side to get the job done at the end of the 90 minutes.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 46.11%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Chateauroux had a probability of 26.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.96%) and 1-2 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.75%), while for a Chateauroux win it was 1-0 (9.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Le Havre in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Le Havre.
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