Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 44.26%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 31.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.91%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 1-2 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Chelmsford City | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
44.26% ( -0.01) | 23.83% ( -0) | 31.91% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 60.72% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.72% ( 0.01) | 41.28% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.32% ( 0.01) | 63.67% ( -0.01) |
Chelmsford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.08% ( 0) | 18.91% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.59% ( 0) | 50.41% ( -0) |
Dorking Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.88% ( 0.01) | 25.12% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.18% ( 0.02) | 59.82% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Chelmsford City | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
2-1 @ 9.1% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.91% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.59% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.05% 3-0 @ 3.66% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.49% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.1% 4-0 @ 1.52% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0) Other @ 3.38% Total : 44.26% | 1-1 @ 10.93% 2-2 @ 6.29% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.75% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.61% ( 0) Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.83% | 1-2 @ 7.55% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.56% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.53% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.48% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.9% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.09% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.2% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 2.6% Total : 31.91% |
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